I have some reservations about the latest Pulse Asia survey, the one the polling firm calls Project ST-0506. The results came in an unusual format, without the usual charts and tables that would have enabled a reader to check the interpretation against the data. In fact, when I asked the paper’s research director if she had come across any such chart or table, her first reply was to say she needed to verify whether the survey was legitimate in the first place. In other words, the survey report even looked different.
But yes, it is the real thing. And Pepe Miranda was on the radio a few times yesterday, explaining his findings.
This was the result that struck me the most:
Among alternative political scenarios that would be most inimical or destructive of the national interest, retaining her to serve the full constitutional term (22%) is adjudged equally bad as a coup where the military and police determine who will govern among civilian politicians (22%) and marginally the same as a coup where the military and the police themselves directly rule the country.
The prose could stand some pruning, yes? But the main idea is clear enough: five more years of GMA is as bad for the country as a military-backed civilian government, and "marginally" as bad as a military junta. Talk about the "sitting president’s critically marginalized situation."
(But the finding, as presented, raises the need for the data again. For instance, just how many of the survey’s 1,200 respondents thought direct rule by a military junta was bad? Marginally more than those who abhor the idea of five more years of GMA? Or marginally fewer? I can’t tell, from the survey results as released.)
The lead in the Inquirer’s banner story today is based on a finding from the same cluster of results, about the President’s "growing marginalization."
DEBUNKING Malacañang’s claim that President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo continues to enjoy public support, results of a survey by an independent polling firm show that more than half of Filipinos believe there are better leaders to replace Ms Arroyo.
"(A) sizable majority (61 percent) think that alternative scenarios serving the best interest of the country exclude President Arroyo remaining in office," Felipe Miranda, founding president of Pulse Asia Inc., said yesterday in a report titled "Filipinos at yet another crossroads of history."
The Star led off with the mixed finding on resignation.
A survey by Pulse Asia Inc. commissioned by opposition groups identified with deposed former President Joseph Estrada showed that Filipinos were "split" and indicated there was still "no runaway majority opinion" to support calls for Mrs. Arroyo’s resignation.
Pulse Asia research director Felipe Miranda drew these conclusions yesterday from survey findings indicating that the President garnered what he warned were "record-breaking" highs of disapproval and distrust ratings at 46 percent and 53 percent, respectively.
The online consortium of the Manila Times and ABS-CBN also devoted its lead to the result on resignation, but with a decidedly different (and from the looks of it wire-written) take.
President Arroyo is more unpopular than her disgraced predecessor Joseph Estrada and almost half of Filipinos think she should resign, a survey by leading pollster Pulse Asia showed on Wednesday.
The survey of 1,200 people across the Philippines was taken on June 20-23 — before Arroyo’s stunning admission she had talked to the election commissioner during vote-counting for the May 2004 presidential election.
The story in the Manila Standard Today dwelt on the findings regarding alternative political leaders.
Vice President Noli de Castro is perceived by Filipinos to be the best to lead the country in case President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo steps down in the aftermath of the jueteng and tape scandals buffeting her administration.
A Pulse Asia survey conducted June 20-23 revealed that 30 percent of the people wants De Castro as successor to the President while 19 percent prefers deposed President Joseph Estrada and 16 percent, Senator Panfilo Lacson.
Obviously, a story with legs, but running all over the place.