In “The opposition’s narrow, viable path,” I said I’ll write a companion piece “analyzing self-defeating characteristics of today’s opposition.” I hope this incomplete list will prompt a discussion.
1. Dismissing the value of scientific surveys.
“Call it the paradox of the limited influencer. Surveys are accurate and therefore influential on the aggregate precisely because they do not influence voters in the particular.” (May 14, 2019). Also: If supporters want to convince VP Leni Robredo to run, know that she reads, and heeds, the SWS and Pulse Asia surveys.
2. Attributing the administration’s sweep of the 2019 Senate elections to a “7-hour glitch.”
“The reality of the 2019 shutout is unflattering to the opposition” (January 5, 2021, where I identify five reasons why).
3. Ignoring the reality that “politics is addition.”
“Before they can do battle, the political forces that oppose any continuation of the Duterte coalition must first learn to pitch a big tent.” (February 23, 2021)
4. Belittling Grace Poe’s constituency of moderates.
Even Duterte knows the real score. His “sustained criticism of Robredo, Lacson and Poe suggests—as I have noticed in recent weeks among other politicians—that 2022 is very much in the air.” (September 17, 2019)
5. Believing relentlessly in the theory of “distraction.”
“The administration is supposedly strategic enough to create distractions, to keep popular opinion confused and tame. IT ISN’T TRUE.” (September 3, 2019)
6. Placing etiquette (otherwise legitimate concerns about “epal” politics) above effectiveness, in a make-or-break election.
“The opposition should be airing advertisements today, seeding memes and narratives on social media today, working with partners to put up billboards today, forming volunteer groups today. None of this is illegal; and when the stakes are so high, all of these can be justified as a moral response.” (May 11, 2021)
Also see: Myths, misconceptions about 2019 vote.